![]() ![]() Armed men in Sierra Leone attacked the main military barracks and prison in the capital Freetown the government denounced a coup attempt.ĬrisisWatch also assessed one improved situation in November.Political tensions escalated in Madagascar as the opposition rejected incumbent President Rajoelina’s re-election after boycotting the presidential election amid a crackdown on protests.Fears rose in Guatemala that President-elect Bernardo Arévalo could face more judicial persecution, including removal of his immunity or even an arrest, that would in turn fuel mass protests and unrest in December.ĬrisisWatch identified ten deteriorated situations in November. ![]() The military in Myanmar may step up its brutal response, including indiscriminate bombings, as it faces its most significant battlefield challenges since the February 2021 coup with ethnic armed groups launching attacks on multiple fronts.In Sudan, the Rapid Support Forces continued their multi-pronged offensive, leaving a trail of alleged atrocities in Darfur where the risk of all-out ethnic conflict remains, especially as more armed groups could be drawn in.Election-related violence in the Democratic Republic of Congo could erupt around the 20 December vote amid widespread distrust in the process and fighting in the eastern province of North Kivu, where M23 rebels continue their advance (see this month’s Conflict in Focus).In Lebanon, deadly border clashes between Hizbollah and Israel expanded in scale and scope, further heightening the risk of full-scale war in the coming weeks.Further massive killing and displacement seem almost inevitable. Already hundreds of Palestinians have died in the past few days of bombardments, adding to the 15,000 plus killed before the truce. The majority of the enclave’s nearly 2 million people are now in the south, many having fled Israel’s military campaign in the north. After efforts to extend a Qatar-brokered truce faltered, Israel resumed its onslaught in southern Gaza.Our monthly conflict tracker highlights six conflict risks in December. ![]()
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